Coming Soon, a Crude ending. The oil is running out. Few seem to get it yet. I'll say it again, The Oil is Running Out. In 50 years time we will have no oil!!
What will this mean? Well, I think the problems will start well before the 50 years are up. Petrol prices only have one way to go, and that's up up up. What effect will this have on world economies? Worse still, 6 of the top 10 Fortune 500 companies are Oil or Car Manufacturers. What will they do to cling to power?
I reckon the real crap will occur over the next 20 years, until we realise that there really is going to be no more oil and change our world economy and the way we live, over to something else. This isn't about conservation of oil, there isn't enough, Even if we conserve, maybe we put the event off by a decade, if we'd been more frugal over the last century, then maybe we'd have an extra few decades of oil. It's been nice whilst it lasted.
Now let's look long into the future and work backwards. Here in Australia we have plenty of coal, uranium, and sun, but no water or oil!! So you'd think it would make sense to start working out ways to convert the energy of coal, uranium, and sun into water and transport!! And I don't mean nuclear powered cars!! I mean how are we going to convert the energy of coal, uranium and sun, into how we power the batteries of our cars or some other energy medium, as well as desalinating our water or some other miracle.
And there are other fuel sources such as Ethanol, Hydrogen, and other Synthetic fuels.
I'm not too worried about what we end up with as our fuel source, just the turmoil we're going to go through before the dumb Western countries let go of the oil. So a few things to consider;
1. Go Johnnie Go on the nuclear feasibility studies. And make 'em quick!
2. What is the feasibility of converting coal or nuclear power into desalination plants?
3. When do we use the most energy? When we switch on the air conditioning coz it's so hot. So why not work on solar powered air conditioners! Doh!!
4. Melbourne with it's electric powered tram and train system is looking good, but there will have to be a much better and longer term transport strategy with hugely more investment, and the same with the other cities in the world.
5. What will the demographics of countries look like with no oil powered cars, and especially no oil powered trucks to transport everything. Do we start to look like Cuba, with everything apparently based on local communities?
6. How do we move away from a reliance on car manufacturing in the western economies and move to something else, or find an alternative way of powering cars pretty damn quick. Australia would have to solve its water problem if it went for an ethanol solution, or swap uranium and coal for sugar!!
7. And finally, I think we have the current technology to be looking good in 50 years, with replacement energy for our transport needs, with one exception.....how do you power a jet airliner or a fighter plane without hydrocarbon fuel? Will synthetic fuel, hydrogen, or something else be able to produce the same efficiency and safety of a current jet engine?